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The second Major of the year beginning with the 2025 PGA championship from Thursday Through Sunday at Quail Hollow Club.
Which players do our Golf Experts Think will win? Where do our betting experience believe there is value? We break down the favorites and much more ahead of the 2025 PGA championship.
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Experts’ picks to win | Betting roundtable
Experts’ picks
Matt barrie
Rory mcilroy: I believe in players who have their “Run.” And rory is in his right now. After getting the Career Grand Slam of his chest, he comes to a place he has won four times. It’s his playground. And hey win again.
Tory barron
Justin thomas: Call it recency bias, but jt is poised to win the pga championship for a third time. After putting an end to his nearly three-year winless droght with a playoff victory at the rbc heritage in april and fresh off of a runner-up finish at the confidance (and the thi Putter) to make some noise at quail hollow – where he ho hoisted the Wanamaker Trophy in 2017. Disclaimer: If Brooks koepka Figures it out of the one time I don’t pick him to win it all, I defect to Liv.
Michael collins
Scottie Scheffler: How many times are we gonna displaypect world #1?!? Peply mistake his demeanor as not be a killer. The competitor in Him is Gonna Be Seething. But once Again, they’all learn.
Jeff darlington
Justin Thomas: Someeting clicked for Thomas in October 2024. He finished tied for 2nd at the zozo championship – and has known back to Elite form sence. He returns to the site of his first pga championship win … and now, he’l win again.
Michael eaves
Rory McILroy: Finally Winning The Masters Lifted A Huege Burden Off His Shoulders. He could be on the verge of playing the most relaxed golf he has played in nearly a decade, and a free-swing rory is a scary rory to the rest of the field. Plus, with Four Previous Wins at Quail Hollow, He owns that course. Who read for some brand slam talk?
Peter Lawrance-Riddell
Rory McILroy: Sometimes If a pick seems too easy, the best thing to do is just make it. He got the masters/grand slam off his back and has been the best golfer in the world in 2025.
Andy North
Shane Lowry: He has been playing very well, he’s a very good driver of the ball and hits great Iron shots.
Mark Schlabach
Bryson dechambeau: If the winer is going to need to have the length of the tee, solid long-air plan and consistent putting, give me bryson. Hey Going to Want to Prove That His Less-Than-Stellar Showing on Sunday at the masters was a fluke, and hey coming off a victory in korea in the Liv Golf League. He finished in the top six in five of the past five major, including runner-up at the 2024 PGA championship at valhalla golf club. He’l get to add a wanamaker trophy to his two us open trophies.
Marty smith
Rory MCilroy: He enters the PGA championship hassened pready won the two most prestigious tournaments played this year – the players championship and the Masters tournament. Fourteen years of constant questions and consture are gone. Confidence in every facet of his game and with every club in the bag. Mental, Emotional, Spiritual, Physical Freedom.
And now he returns to quail hollow, a site at which he carries the lowest scoring average in Pga Tour History Among 246 Players who has recorded at last 20 rounds. Oh, and he has won at Quail Four times.
Curtis strange
Rory McILROY OVER SCOTTIE BY 1
Pairs uggs
Rory McILRoy: It is too too too obvious Given Rory’s Play and Recent Form at Quail Hollow to Pick Hey this week’s winner, but I can not convince myself to go ElseWhere with this choice. Maybe we are getting CAGHT up in the moment – he just showed us how hard is it to win one major, let’s two in a row – but that doesn ” Has clearly be playing the best golf in the world this year.
Scott has pelt
Bryson Dechambeau: Quail Hollow is a Big Ballpark, as The Saying Goes. This weeks it’s also an awfully wet golf course. The Advantage of Dechambeau’s Length Will Be Magnified this Week and I Think He Wins.
Betting roundtable
Who is your pick to win?
Tyler Fulghum, Espn Bet Live Host
Xander Schauffele (+2000). It is really hard to avoid picking mcilroy or schefler, but the +500 price (or worse) on Both Golfers is very experience. If i’m looking outside that top two, i’d consider schauffele. Schaffele has the type of disciplined and well-rounded game to Excel at a tournament such, where the distances are long and the competition is deep.
David Gordon, Espn Research
Shane Lowry (+4500). There’s a case to be made that the lower should be near the top of the second tier of players, but his odds do not quite reflect it. If it is not rory or xander, I ‘
Pamela maldonado, betting analyst
Rory MCilroy (+475). I know he just won the masters, but quail hollow is a different story; It’s his kingdom. The course plays to his strengths – booming drives and towering long irons – which is what mcilroy has won here for. He knows every continour of the course, and his playing style is tailor-made for this layout. It’s a short price, but when mcilroy is at quail, he’s defending his throne.
Who is your Favorite Bet to make the top 10?
Fulghum: Patrick RED (+550).
Exception for Bryson dechambeauLIV Golfers are most out of sight and out of mind. That provides value on these menes, and the other Liv Golfer who has performed relatively well in Majors Outside of Dechambeau Sense Moving to Liv is real. He posted a third-place finish at augusta in april and finished t2 in 2017 when the pga was lasted at quail hollow.
Gordon: Byson Dechambeau (+140)
Dechambeau has more top-finishes (three) Than any other player in pga championships Since 2020. To contend register of course style. Length Off the Tee With Shorter Rough Has Worked for Recent Winners at Quail Hollow (Such as MCILROY AND WYNDHAM CLARK) AND WHILE I THINK BYSON IS A GREAT OUTRIGHT TOP-FIVE PICK, I ‘TAKING THE Insurance with a top-10.
Maldonado: Jon rahm (+190)
Rahm is long off the tee, precise with his long irons and does back down from a tough track. Quail is built for guys who can muscle through the long par 4 and handle the press of the Green Mile, Two Things Rahm Has in Abundance. Even on an off day, rahm’s floor can be high than the most guys’ ceilings. Even when his putter runs cold, he’s still a threat because his approach play sets up so many good lookings.
What is your favorite scottie scheffler or rory mcilroy bet?
Fulghum: MCilroy Top-10 Finish, ROUND 1 (+200)
It is hard to find a plus-money bet to McILRoy’s name that is attitude, but i’l jump at this one. Mcilroy is not usly a fast starter in Majors, but this is a course that he dominates. Fresh off the win at augusta, he could start fast, free and easy.
Gordon: MCILROY OVER SCHEFLER: Tournament Matchup (-10)
Pam and Tyler have meters say when it comes to mcilroy. While it feels daunting to fade a player who just tied the Pga Tour’s 72-Hole Scoring Record in his last start, mcilroy has the edge in course knowledge, Length and Putting.
Maldonado: MCILROY TOP-10 Finish, ROUND 1 (+200)
The hard part is done. He completed the Career Slam. McILRoy is coming to quail hollow grounded, composed and in control. Golf is as much mental as it is skills, and he got clarity and confidence. If he just this natural game without pressing, Given his course comfort, mcilroy’s mindset will be focused and his game will be methodical.
Who are your favorite long shots/value bets (Let’s say 100-1 or long)?
Fulllight: Tony Found (+200500)
There are real noting about finu’s game right now that suggests he contend at this time except for his distance off the tee. The Price, However, is Very Attrative for Someone of Finau’s Talent Level, and the Pga Championship, Unlike the other three Majors, is the most like the most like like the first-time-time winer.
Gordon: Denny mccarthy (+17500)
Tied for Sixth at Quail Hollow Last Last Year and T-8 The year prior, mccarthy is one of three players with eight rounds of Par or Better over the post two years at this city And tommy fleetwood). McCarthy’s Lack of Distance Off The Tee is Concerning, but clearly He Makes Up for ElseWhere when he comes to quail. His best finish of the sea is T-5 at torrey pins, one of the longest courses on the tour all season, and I will take a flier on that putter staying red hot.
Maldonado: Keith Mitchell (+11000)
His recent form is intriguing. Over His Past Four Starts, Mitchell has posted Five Straight Top-20s, Including T-7 at Truist Last Week, Showing a Strong Upward Trend of Consistency. His ball striking has been solid, while he is making noise with tee-to-green gains. He does have two top-10 finishes at quail hollow, so +320 for a top-20 makes more sense, with a few bucks on +11000 for some fun.
Are there any other bets that stand out to you?
Gordon: Corey Conners to Finish as Low Canadian (+165)
Conners has cashed in this market in Four of the Past Five Majors – The Lone Exception Coming at Last Year’s Open Championship – And in Six of the Past Eight Majors, Both Times the Low Canadian at the Pga Championship over that span. His Five Top-10 Finishes on this Season Trails Only justin thomas and rory mcilroy. He also finished T-13 and T-8 in the past two years at quail hollow.
Maldonado: Justin Thomas (-120) vs. Xander Schauffele
Thomas knews how to win here, and schaffele, when has the tools to contend, just does not stack up with their aproach game. Thomas’ Iron Play is Stronger, Giving Him an Edge on a course that rewards Iron Play. In a matchup of ball striking, JT’s consistency with his tee-to-gren game makes the differentiate.
