The conservative president-elect of Poland is a tough opponent for PM

The president-chosen Karol Nawrocki van Polen plays a largely ceremonial role, but his impact on the country’s politics in the next five years can be profound.

The supporters of Namrocki, the opposition of the National Conservative Law and Justice), feels new life after losing power 18 months ago at the pro-EU coalition of Donald Tusk and consider his success the first step to a return to power.

The President of Poland has a limited influence on foreign and defense policy, but can propose bills and veto. Tusk’s government lacks a parliamentary majority that is large enough to perform a presidential veto.

The departing conservative president, Andrzej Duda, has used his blocking powers to prevent the prime minister from making many of his most important campaign blows.

They include giving Polish women the right to a legal abortion up to the 12th week of pregnancy, legalizing civil partnerships, including relationships of the same sex, accelerating on -hore wind farm developments and the removal of political influence of the judiciary.

Nawrocki, a socially conservative 42-year-old historian, is generally expected to be an even more difficult opponent for Tusk than Duda. Some believe that the resulting paralysis can seduce the government to keep early elections before the planned autumn 2027 Deadline.

“In all likelihood it means early elections, because he will express a veto about every law that the government takes,” said Konstanty Gegeert, a journalist for the weekly magazine Kultura Liberalna told the BBC.

“Constitutionally his early elections are difficult to do if the government does not want them, but if it is the defeat to defeat and cannot rule, they can decide that they are less evil,” he explained.

The government of Tusk has a parliamentary majority, so it can remain in office until the fall 2027, unless the coalition separates.

That trade union includes the conservative people’s party, centrists and left, which is an important reason why Tusk has failed to reach an agreement on issues such as abortion and civil partnerships.

As an alternative, the government could decide that early elections are in its best interest.

Nawrocki is a proud Polish patriot, a conservative Catholic who opposes illegal migration, expanding legal rights to people in the same sex and liberalizing the strict abortion law of the country.

He believes that Tusk’s vision of cementing Poland in the EU Mainream by trusting good relations with Brussels, Berlin and Paris runs against Polish national interests. Those interests are best served, he says, by getting up against Germany when their opinions vary and no more powers to Brussels. Nawrocki opposes the EU climate proposals, such as the Green Deal, because he says that limiting greenhouse gas emissions will harm small Polish farmers.

Nawrocki supports constant military and humanitarian aid for neighboring Ukraine. Poland is the home of the International Hub for supplies to Kiev. But he does not believe that Ukraine joins NATO or the EU, while Russian aggression is underway, improves the safety of Poland.

He is in favor of US President Donald Trump and criticized the approach to Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zensky during the Clarifying infamous oval office. The American Minister of Interior Security Kristi Called a few days before the elections to endorse Nawrocki, a sharp amateur boxer, and called him a “strong” leader as Trump.

The election result was close by, similar to that won by Duda against Warsaw’s liberal mayor Rafal Trzaskowski five years ago, a sign that the political polarization of the country has not been relaxed.

In a premature victory speech, delivered after an exit poll gave him a razor-thin victory immediately after voting on Sunday evening, trzaskowski promised to be president for all Poles.

At the same time, Nawrocki did not speak such promises. Instead, he told his supporters that his campaign managed to unite the “Patriotic camp” in Poland. Neither of the candidates inspired the confidence that they would make constructive efforts to contact the other side.

Long-term conflict between the two political groups that have dominated Polish politics for two decades can feed on more support for anti-establishment parties, such as the extreme right-wing confederation or the hard links.

Confederatie’s young Libertarian candidate Slawwomir Mentzen continued the recent profit of the group and finished third in the first round of the presidential election. Could it increase its support and could it be persuaded to become a member of a future government -guided government?

Another Confederation leader Krzysztof Bosak denied the last possibility on Monday and said that the two parties would not get closer because they are fighting for the same voters.