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Jay Rinse
When I am the first I started broadcasting, I was called a “color commentator”. My task was to decompose players and teams and tell you why they were good, and analyze the game matches and tell you what to look at and which factors to determine the result. At that time we would create a top 20 presets and try to tell you which teams and players will be the best. Once in a while we would be asked to predict, but it was not a dominant topic.
At some point, I became a “basketball analyst” that sounds deeply snobbish. Suddenly we were asked to choose the winner of every game, which was contrainuitive to my sensitivity. After all, if I knew who would win, why wouldn’t I go to Las Vegas and sit by the pool with a drink in hand and raking in the win? Of course we do not know who will win. Sure, we can point out the consensus and factors that the game will be determined but no one knows.
This means that fans have worked out to choose from analysts – that’s why our bosses insist on producing them. I do one holder each year and after I choose to choose from Sunday – in An article in which I choose the NCAA tournament game for each male For your pleasure and my pain – I don’t think of them again. I am more interested in the game on the floor. But no one will allow us to forget the selections, despite the absurdity of everyone.
This year I had a dilemma. When I looked at every seed no. 1, I really liked the one that everyone had. But what would the chances be All four Seeds No. 1 will achieve Final Four? Since the beginning of sowing in 1979, all four seeds No. 1 Final Four reached only once, in 2008 – in San Antonio. That year I found myself in the same problem: I looked at the journey of each seed No. 1 and each of them liked independently. When I filled the holder, I had all four advancing to San Antonio. And finally, all four. This year, the performance was fulfilled only for the second time. My overall record of games selected in my article is 45-15, including the right Final Four in San Antonio. And regardless of my tips or yours, this last four is historical, but it is not unprecedented.
It may not be so splashing; In 2008 and this year I got a huge amount of GUFF for my tips. But you need to remember: while the NCAA tournament is a spectacle, it is also a national championship. And we are lucky to have the four best teams from the season fighting near Alamo for the trophy and reduce nets down.
This last four is absolutely incredible. These four units are the top four teams in the Kenpom.com efficiency evaluation (most digestible analysts for fans) and have a combined record of 135-16. All four teams are evaluated in the TOP 10 in both offensive and defensive efficiency, which is amazing and unusual. Even better is that these four teams are among the top 10 most effective in history Kenpom.com assessment, available since 1997. Duke is No. 2 all the time, Houston No. 6, Florida No. 8 and Auburn No. 10. This is All Time.
Every season and every NCAA tournament is different, which is one of the beautiful things about the event. Two years ago, San Diego State and Florida Atlantic He achieved Final Four and the umbrella narrative was that the Nile and the transmission portal flattened the country, this talent would be more widespread, and the government of the main conferences could end. This year was not so excited, and all 16 teams in Sweet 16 were out of the four main conferences (seven from sec, four of the Big Ten, four of the Big 12 and one of the ACC). It is now said that the transmission portal and the Nile have killed MID-Majors, who are only the donors of the bodies for the main conferences.
Of course, that’s not true either. One data point does not mean a trend, and it is only one year. Two years ago this year’s Sweet 16 would present seven conferences with Houston in America, Bullshit At the West Coast conference and Arizona In PAC-12. Would it be to make everyone feel better?
When the games are approaching, it is time to forget the discourse – and yes, tips – and focus on the basketball that is in the store. These four teams-the outstanding of all Dob-with had to earn here. The competition between them will be tasty and I can’t wait to see it.
How did they get here: Gators played a solid unconference plan, but not powerful. The point, however, is that Florida did not lose the game against the team outside the sec this season. Todd Golden has the deepest team for Final Four and no team played better basketball when the NCAA tournament began than Gators. Golden has a Quartet of the Rangers that easily equal to any nation, led by the first team of all American Walter Clayton Jr.As a capable bucket getter, such as in a college game. Clayton who played for Rick Pitino Iona And it was a big football recruiting from high school, is the one who can break the game and create your own shot and made against Uconne and Texas tech. Without Clayton, Florida wouldn’t be right now. Florida also has excellent large men who are qualified passers -by, ball handlers and offensive rebounders; They strengthen the auxiliary defenders and any large in the ground and open the lanes to the edge where the shot blocker cannot get.
Separating factor: Offensive reflection and turnover. Florida is the best offensive team of reflection from this final four, which delimits 39% of its mistakes for high-percentage opportunities of second chance, including 3-point kicky shots. The biggest mistake? Gators tend to overturn it a little more than the other three seeds No. 1, among these teams, the turnover is fourth. If Florida takes care of the ball and shoots down every time, the gators efficiency fires the way up.
One player to watch: Will Richard. Guard transfer from Belmont He is an excellent rebounder, a perimer shooter and a helper of help. When Clayton pointed out, Richard can be the creator of differences.
How did they get here: No team played a harder schedule than Auburn and during the regular season no one won better games. Tigers have some similarities to Florida about the depth of talent and Auburn has excellent guards. Whether it is Miles Kelly (the best shooter), Denver Jones (the best defender and clutch performers) or Tahaad pettiford (Lefty Bucket Getter), Auburn Guards shoot 40% of deep and 88% of the foul. While Auburn is not a great team with free Hodille, the guards are separated by tigers at the end of the games. Of course, have John BroomeThe Lefty National Player of the Year Contender, provides Bruce Pearl a cross -country plug that can score or pass from a double team to fight the most personal schemes.
Separating factor: Auburn is very good in most of all aspects of the game, but the tigers are the best of this group to protect the ball without turning it (followed by the Duke and Houston). When Auburn gets a shot, tigers have a chance to stand up and/or catch offensive bouncers. And no team is better in defense of situations outside or out of restrictions.
One player to look: Denver Jones. The Fiu Transfer is the best defender on the ball on the list and is a very talented offensive player. Jones never got the credit he deserves, and could end up in any game as the best versatile guard on the floor. Jones can shoot, ride a score or food, and it seems to always hold a defensive assignment below its diameter.
How did they get here: Duke is the most talented team, the longest and largest, and it is the only one who has been in the first five Kenpom in both offensive and defensive efficiency. Although they have five freshmen in rotation (they say you can’t win with freshmen, but you can), the Duke plays with cohesion and consistency – at both ends – a much older, more experienced team. Led the phenom Freshman Cooper FlaggThe best player in the country, the Duke has several weapons to spread the floor, knock down peripheral shots, struck a lane from dribling or passage, and exert pressure on the edge with a vertical threat Khaman Maluach. Duke is the best finishing team on the RIM and the best band with free throwing and has the best two -point defense in Final Four.
Separating factor: Size, length and ability to switch in all five positions. Duke has an incredible length that allows Blue Devils to discourage and influence the passages and attempts to shoot. In addition, the ability to switch all screens and exchanges, it is a very difficult defense against. It is important to put Maluach in the situations of the ball screen and pull it out of the edge.
One player to watch: Tyrese Proctor. Flagg is the best player on university basketball and Kon Knuepel He is one of the best shooters in the tournament and is around each free ball. However, Proctor is a differential with shooting in the situations of catching and shoot, and he was in the tournament flames, shot at a crazy clip and made great decisions. Proctor is also an excellent defender.
How did they get here: Houston lost only four games this season, three of which were overtime. Cougars lead a nation in hard gaming and are persistent in defense and on glass. With traps that come from situations with a ball screen and in the post, Houston makes it difficult and is physical in the layout. Nothing is easy against Houston, which has one of the truly admirable winning cultures in sports. You want to beat Houston, you have to accept the physical challenge presented and play through the contract. But this season, Houston is much more than an offensive jump and a defensive team. Houston is the best shooting team for district in Final Four and shoots 40% of the deep team, with Lj Cryer, Emanuel Sharp and Milos Saan All shooting better than 41% of 3, led by sauer to 44.5%. Houston will challenge on the edge and big men J’wan Roberts, Joseph Tugler and Ja’vier Francis They are all long, strong, athletic defenders and bouncers.
Separating factor: Defense and reflection. Houston is the best defensive team in the country and Cougars can control the pace. There is nothing easy against Houston. Opponents do not get a normal game against Cougars. It is not enough to be ready to play them; You must be ready to fight.
One player to watch: Emanuel Sharp. Nicknamed “Crash”, Sharp has a huge range as a shooter, and at the moment he is fearless. With an unusual movement of shooting, in which he almost flicks the ball out of his hands, Sharp is rough, hard and physical. He’s a good player who can warm up in a hurry.
