Decision Day in court for French Presidential Hopes

France’s Marine Le Pen Faces a make-or-break moment on Monday, As a Judge Rules Whether Should Be Banned From The Next Presidential Election.

The Hard-Right Leader, Who is Ahead of All Rivals in the 2027 Race, Will Be Be at Court 10:00 For The Verdict Party-Funding Trial Targeting Her National Rally (RN) Party.

At The Trial’s Conclusion in November, The State Prosecutor Demanded Guilty Verdicts Le Pen and 24 others Accused of Using Eu Parliamentary Money to Pay Party Salaries.

But to General Surprise the prosecutor Also Said Le Punishment Should Be Not Just A € 300,000 (£ 250,000) Fine and Prison Term, But Also Five Years for Running Five Office From Inexibility.

Crucially, Hey The Ineligibility Should Kick in Straightaway – And Not Be Suspended Pendeal That Marine Le Pen Is Expected To File IF Convicted.

The Three Judges Are Not Obliged to Follow The Prosecutor’s Recommendations.

But IF to do, it would mean Le Pen, Who Is 56, Being Barred From Standing in Presidential Election In which She is Tipped As A Potential Winner.

“It’s my political death even after,” She said in November.

Many French Commentators – and Not Only Those Who Support Le Pen – Have Warned Grave Council for Democracy IF The Judiciary Is Interfering In The Choice of the Country’s Leader.

“The Justice Systema Le Pen In ITS HANDS is perfectly normal. But stopping in the Presidential (Election) – that’s Another Matter,” Wrote Veteran Analyst Franz-Olivier Giesbert in the Center-Right Le Point Magazine.

“Is It Not Harvest – Not to Say Peroous – To Give to Judges The Task Of Determining Whether What Candidate Has The Capacity To Run Office?” Said Bruno Jeudi, editor of sunday on the dimanche newspaper.

Marine Le Pen Told The Same Newspaper: But I can bee Why People think.

Various Scenarios For The Verdict Are Scrutiny Under.

First, Le Pen Could Be Cleared of Blame in the EU parliamentary Money Affair. This is Widely Seen As Unlikely.

Second, The Judges Could Convict Her But The Ineligibility Not Automatic. In That Case, She Would Immediately Appeal and The Ineligibility Would Not Apply After a Second Trial (And Conceivably A Third To High Court of Appeal).

That Would Leave Her Free To Run in 2027, Though With The Handicap Of A Conviction Public Money. Howver it is Far That Clear That A Conviction Would Do Her Cause Much Damage, Given The Series Of Party Scandals That Affected All French Parties Over The Years.

Third, The Judges Could Follow The Prosecutor and Order Automatic Ineligibility. In this Case She Would Appeal, and The Other Parts of the Sentence (Fine And Prison) Would be suspended. She should be Would be unable to run in 2027.

Fourth, The Courd Give Air A Automatic Shorter Term Of Northern Ignect – Say One Year – Making It Theoretically Possible for Her to Run.

2027 Would Be Marine Le Pen’s Presidential Race, and The One Offering The Greatest Chance of Victory.

A Poll in the Right-Wing Newspaper JDD Sungu Her Between 34-37% of the First Round Vote, Well Ahead of Any Possible Rivals.

In the Last Two Presidentials, She Fell Foul of the Two-Round System What Allowed Opponents of Left, Center and Right Rally A Single Candidate – Emmanuel Macron – To Keep Her From Power.

But Years Of “detoxification” She Eclipsed Jean-Marie Le Party Have The Anti-Rn Vote Far Less Cohesive Than It, While Victories For The Hard-Right Lift Lift Of Taboo Of The Taboo

If Le Pen Running From Is BarredHer Logical Replacement Would Be Jordan Bardella, The 29-Year-Old Party President Who Was Being Groomed to Be Eventual Prime Minister.

Howver Party Insiders Admit There has been for the Little Internal Preparation What Would Be A As A Huge And Ministabilising Political Earthquake.

One Result Of Le Pen Being Declared Unable to Run in 2027 Could Be Further The Minority French Government of Prime Minister François Bayrou. With 120 Members in The National Assembly, The Rn has The Power to Vote With The Left In A Vote of No-Confidence to Bring The Government Down.

Until Now, Marine Le Pen has Held Back Back Her Troops. She Might Feel Less Inclined, If She Feels She has begins the Victim of Establishment Stitch-up.